Luxury Institute News

March 6, 2013

Why Care About Gen Y?

Aloft Hotels sees them, as well as Millennials, as the perfect target to build lifelong loyalty. Here’s how they are achieving that goal.

By Caryn Eve Murray
Hotel Interactive
March 05, 2013

The generation is celebrated for its youth, momentum, propensity for bold statements and for always going new places. That’s how Starwood describes Aloft, a relatively new generation of its hotels being welcomed into the hospitality world. A baby born in June 2008, Aloft Hotels could well be called the Millennials of the marketplace. This upstart is defined by loft-like interiors, dynamic public spaces for socializing without a loss of privacy, a bar scene showcasing up-and-coming music talent and guest rooms offering easy hookup to personal media.

So it comes as no surprise that Aloft Hotels are, in fact, something of an architectural counterpart to the very generation of guests they target: travelers born sometime in the early 1980s and beyond, now ripening into successful and peripatetic young adulthood. These Millennial Generation guests are gaining recognition as an enviable catch for anyone, and Aloft in particular.

“When Starwood thought of launching Aloft it was looking at the changing trends in the marketplace and understanding how travelers are traveling differently – the different demographics as well as the psychographics,” said Paige Francis, vice president of global brand management for Aloft. “The next generation of travelers would be the Millennials and those that share that mindset as well.”

In other words, said Francis, the brand recognizes that youthful thinking isn’t just found in the very young. “Who is actually coming to our door?” she said. “As you know, this appeals to a larger variety of the population, depending on their mindset. The self-driven early adopter, tech-savvy social person isn’t just limited to an actual age segment.”

Indeed, as Millennials come of age, suitcases in hand, they become a force the greater industry cannot ignore. Even the most traditional bed-and-breakfast segment has had to come to grips with the question of whether to shake the dust off its doilies, and strip its floral wallpaper, judiciously, to attract them.

“It’s not that baby boomers are exiting, they are still going to travel,” said Milton Pedraza, chief executive officer of the Luxury Institute, a ratings and research company that focuses on high-end branding. “But the emerging Gen X and Gen Y, the Millennials, are traveling too. Their world is so interconnected, they learn about new destinations and want to go sooner than we ever did as baby boomers…Global travel today is second nature, especially to these American consumers.”

And unlike the backpack-toting, hostel-focused youngsters of their predecessor generations, said Pedraza, “they are not into roughing it. They want to experience luxury and at least a minimum level of quality in the premises and amenities. They are not willing to compromise on that and they shouldn’t. The world has much higher standards now for travel and hospitality and a lot of options.”

The rapid expansion of Aloft bears this out. Some 63 hotels have been launched so far, with another five to open this month, said Francis. “Clearly this is a product that has been answering a need,” she said. That is as true in the U.S. as it is overseas, where Aloft is making advances into China, India, Malaysia, Latin America and Thailand.

“Generation Y is poised to become the largest consumer buying group,” Francis said. “They are a very quickly growing group defining the present and will continue to define our future.”

But inns and bed-and-breakfast establishments, which grew popular by serving up tidy slices of the past, have been rethinking their Millennial strategies too. In the spirit of last year’s concurrent presidential campaign season, innkeepers launched “Doily Decision 2012,” a tongue-in-cheek social media debate that tackled the importance of adherence to old-time traditions in the face of a youthful, text- and WiFi-driven world of travel.

“A lot of B&Bs have transcended the doily,” said Jay Karens, chief executive officers of the Professional Association of Innkeepers. But, he said, appealing to the Millennials is not just about tossing out the old – or keeping it – or necessarily being gadget-friendly.

“That’s a fallacy,” he said, referring to the notion that if you capture cutting-edge tech, you capture the Millennials’ hearts and wallets too.

“Where B&Bs are hitting the sweet spot is a more contemporary experience.” He said B&Bs appeal to Millennials now by offering an antidote to what he called “the typical corporate experience.” That often means a slightly more modern environment and a strong desire to build relationships, one-on-one.

The most successful hoteliers build their Millennial business on relationships, not transactions, said Pedraza. “For follow-ups, they don’t just send a generic email, they make a phone call. They suggest something for next year’s vacation. This is authentic human interaction as opposed to commercial gobbledygook speech.”

Millennials are being courted along the whole spectrum of inn styles, he said. “They run from the old-fashioned Victorian to the super modern and super elegant with everything in between,” Pedraza said. “There are plenty of innkeepers on that bell curve, offering the modern sophisticated experience. It might be a 200-year-old home but they have updated their interiors so it looks more like Pottery Barn than Laura Ashley.”

In Vermont’s Mad River Valley, Janice Hurley Hollis opted to mix allegiance to tradition with an advance into the bold and new. Hollis, operations manager of The Round Barn in Waitsfield, Vt., took stock of the 12-room inventory at the 19th century property and charted a varied course.

“Our travelers are changing,” she said “and we were thinking of what we can do at the property to make sure we attract all kinds of guests. We looked at our rooms and asked, ‘are there one or two rooms we could change the style in so we could have broader appeal?’ In our property we have a lot of traditional rooms done in the style you would expect. We went in one of the rooms, the Wait Room, and we did it over as a more modern style that doesn’t have wallpaper. We painted it a nice relaxing bluish tone with chocolate browns. It is not as busy as some of our other rooms.”

Much of the accommodations do, however, remain intact. “There are people who want to come and feel like they are staying in an older farmhouse and they want the wallpaper and that feeling,” she said. “We would never change the whole style of the property.”

Still, with the Wait Room as the inn’s first of a handful of Millennial-driven changes, the Round Barn also ramped up its digital welcome mat, updating its website and strengthening its Facebook presence. Online marketing means bold and beautiful imagery, she said. “We use lots of visuals,” she said. “And we stick to the three rules of marketing: People don’t read, people don’t read, people don’t read.”

She believes the inn and B&B segment is the market’s most Millennial-friendly because of its easy flexibility. “You always have to be conscious of who is the next traveler, and how do we maintain the balance of appealing to our current guests while appealing to our future guests. Finding something that appeals to everyone. B&Bs can do that. You are not coming to a hotel where the whole hotel appeals to one type of traveler.”

But whether the property is an inn, a major hotel or even a cruise line or tour, the ingredients for appeal are the same. “You need to have a bold customer culture, something that differentiates you and the way you deliver your experience,” said Pedraza. “The way people greet you, check you in…the people you interact with have to create a fabulous human experience.”

In the end, he said, it comes down to living up to the Millennials’ own expectations. “They think: ‘You have collected data on me, you know my needs and my desires and you had better deliver them, or I will consider your kind a dinosaur in the digital age.’….So don’t neglect the Millennials, they are the future.”

http://www.hotelinteractive.com/article.aspx?articleid=28468

Spread the wealth, share!

February 19, 2013

Wealthy Flock To Target But Love The Lord & Taylor Experience, Prefer Apple For Electronics, Staples For Supplies

(NEW YORK) February 19, 2013 – U.S. shoppers earning at least $150,000 a year rank 16 mainstream retailers in the 2013 Luxury Consumer Experience (LCEI) survey jointly conducted by the independent and objective New York-based Luxury Institute and Customer Culture Institute. Respondents evaluated national and regional department store brands, as well retailers of office supplies and electronics.

Among national retailers, Lord & Taylor earns the highest (8.00) LCEI score, and ranks first on all seven subcomponents, which include shoppers’ evaluations of staff, stores and degree of overall satisfaction. Lord & Taylor was visited by just 14% of surveyed shoppers in the past year but those who did rave about their experiences. Target, the most popular chain, saw visits from 66% of wealthy shoppers but earns a 6.90 LCEI score.

In electronics, Apple’s LCEI score of 8.40 tops Best Buy’s 6.97. Apple also enjoys nearly unanimous (98%) agreement from shoppers that they will come back to Apple retail locations in the future, compared to 92% for Best Buy.

Staples (7.31) is the clear winner in office supplies, ranked ahead of Office Depot (7.05) and OfficeMax (7.00).

Iowa-based Von Maur receives the highest LCEI score (8.61) among regional retailers and the highest of all 16 brands covered. Furthermore, 100% of Von Maur’s wealthy customers plan to shop there again.

“Wealthy consumers don’t confine their shopping to luxury retailers. In fact, they spend much more with mainstream brands,” says Luxury Institute and Customer Culture Institute CEO Milton Pedraza. “As in luxury, brands that differentiate themselves with a customer centric culture are the ones that rank highest.”

About Luxury Institute (www.LuxuryInstitute.com)
The Luxury Institute is the objective and independent global voice of the high net-worth consumer. The Institute conducts extensive and actionable research with wealthy consumers about their behaviors and attitudes on customer experience best practices. In addition, we work closely with top-tier luxury brands to successfully transform their organizational cultures into more profitable customer-centric enterprises. Our Luxury CRM Culture consulting process leverages our fact-based research and enables luxury brands to dramatically Outbehave as well as Outperform their competition. The Luxury Institute also operates LuxuryBoard.com, a membership-based online research portal, and the Luxury CRM Association, a membership organization dedicated to building customer-centric luxury enterprises.

Spread the wealth, share!

February 18, 2013

Chris Burch Becomes a Billionaire as Fashion Stock Surge

By Seth Lubove
Bloomberg
February 15, 2013

J. Christopher Burch, the former husband of designer Tory Burch, has become a billionaire amid a bull market for fashion companies.

Burch, 59, controls a portfolio of fashion and technology companies through investment firm Burch Creative Capital. His biggest asset is a 15 percent stake in Tory Burch LLC, the New York-based retailer that sells high-end women’s clothing and accessories, including popular ballet flats adorned with the company’s double-T logo.

His stake in Tory Burch is valued at $530 million, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, giving him a net worth of more than $1.2 billion. He is at least $200 million wealthier than his ex-wife.

“There’s a sense of optimism out there,” said Milton Pedraza, chief executive officer of Luxury Institute LLC, a New York-based research and consulting firm, in a phone interview yesterday. “All these companies have a very robust market to draw from.”

Fashion stocks have surged in the past year. Italy’s Prada SpA (1913) is up 67 percent and New York-based Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (KORS). shares have risen 47 percent. Germany’s Hugo Boss AG (BOSS) is up 23 percent.

Burch declined to comment on his net worth, said Devon Spurgeon, a spokeswoman for him at H&K Strategies in New York. Frances Pennington, a spokeswoman for Tory Burch LLC, didn’t return an e-mail message seeking comment.

Disputes, Divorce
Burch also owns stakes in Poppin, an online office supplies retailer; Powermat Technologies Ltd., a maker of wireless chargers for electronic devices; and Jawbone, which makes Bluetooth headsets, wireless music speakers, and wristbands that track its wearer’s physical activities.

His first success came with Eagle’s Eye, a designer sweater company he started with his brother Bob in 1976, with a $2,000 investment. The brothers sold the company in 1998, at a value of $60 million, according to the Burch Creative Capital website. He reinvested the proceeds into more than 50 startup companies.

The couple opened the first Tory Burch retail store in New York in February 2004. They divorced two years later. Burch sold about half of his stake in Tory Burch on Dec. 31, settling a three-month legal dispute between the couple.

In the suit, Burch alleged his ex-wife impeded the success of C. Wonder, a fashion retailer he started in 2011 that sells blouses, blazers and shoes at 10 retail stores and four pop-up shops in the U.S. Burch accused her of sending staffers to interrogate C. Wonder employees. She responded in a counter- claim that C. Wonder produced a “cheapened, lower quality” knockoff.

‘Strategic Asset’
Women’s Wear Daily reported on Feb. 5 that Burch sold 10 percent of C. Wonder to FMR LLC, the parent of Fidelity Investments, for $35 million, valuing the company at $350 million. Sophie Launay, a Fidelity spokeswoman, declined to comment.

Burch also owns homes in New York, Southampton on Long Island, Nantucket, and on the Indonesian island of Sumba.

Omar Saad, an analyst with International Strategy & Investment Group LLC, says Tory Burch could sell shares in an initial public offering in the future. He wrote in a January research report that the retailer could also be “a highly prized strategic asset” to a buyer such as Coach Inc.

“Look at the economic power of women,” Pedraza said. “Accessories, even more than clothes these days, make the statement of who you are. They help define you.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-15/chris-burch-becomes-a-billionaire-as-fashion-stock-surge.html

Spread the wealth, share!

Consignment site helps ‘snobs’ swap high-end goods

By Abha Bhattarai
Washington Post
February 15, 2013

The search for a used Chanel bag led Elise Whang out of her job as an attorney and into a new career as co-founder of Snob Swap, a Web site that allows users to buy, sell and swap pre-owned designer goods.

Whang was pregnant with her second child when she had the idea for an online consignment shop. She decided to quit her job at the Federal Trade Commission to start Snob Swap with her sister.

“I got a little tired of chasing the mythical work-life balance,” said Whang, 37. “I just thought, it’s time for a change. I was tired of that flea-market feel of consignment sites. And I was also tired of half the stuff in my closet.”

Click the link to read the entire article which includes a quote from Milton Pedraza, CEO of Luxury Institute:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/capitalbusiness/consignment-site-helps-snobs-swap-high-end-goods/2013/02/15/c2d429c4-749f-11e2-aa12-e6cf1d31106b_story.html

Spread the wealth, share!

February 14, 2013

What Recession? Americans Regain a Craving for Luxury

By Nadya Masidlover and Christina Passariello
Wall Street Journal
February 13, 2013

PARIS—While all eyes have been focused on luxury-goods growth in China, another market has quietly been bolstering the business of high-end goods purveyors: the U.S.

French silk-scarf maker Hermès International RMS.FR -0.36%SCA said Tuesday that fourth-quarter sales rose 21% in the Americas to €184.6 million ($247.5 million). That comes on top of a slew of strong U.S. performances for its peers, such as LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA MC.FR -1.20%and Cartier owner Cie. Financière Richemont SA. Gucci parent PPR SA PP.FR -0.44%could confirm the pattern when it reports full-year profits on Friday.

Click the link to read the entire article including a quote from Luxury Institute’s CEO Milton Pedraza:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324880504578300291357105904.html

Spread the wealth, share!

February 12, 2013

One in 7 Washington households in the top 5 percent

By Carol Morello and Ted Mellnik
Washington Post
February 11, 2013

High-income households account for one in every seven in the Washington region, according to new census figures that underscore how the nation’s corporate, financial and government capitals thrived during the recession.

Nationally, Washington ranked third among all metro areas with high concentrations of households in the top 5 percent, a group that begins at $191,500.

Many of the richest households are clustered in the Northeast, from Washington to Boston. The New York City suburbs around Bridgeport, Conn., including several towns that are hubs for investment firms and hedge funds, have the biggest concentration of 5 percenters. The Silicon Valley area of San Jose is second.

Click the link to read the entire article which includes a quote from Milton Pedraza, CEO of Luxury Institute:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/one-in-7-washington-households-in-the-top-5-percent/2013/02/11/8dc7e258-745d-11e2-95e4-6148e45d7adb_story.html

Spread the wealth, share!

Applying Best Practices Of High-End Retail, Luxury Institute Founder Launches Customer Culture Institute To Help Mainstream Brands Build Better Relationships, Boost Sales

(NEW YORK) February 12, 2013- Milton Pedraza, founder and CEO of the Luxury Institute (www.luxuryinstitute.com), the leading global independent research and consulting firm in the luxury industry, has launched the Customer Culture Institute (www.customercultureinstitute.com). The objective Customer Culture Institute is focused on helping mainstream brands across all industries and geographies to rapidly design, deploy and reinforce customer-centric cultures that leverage their unique competitive positions.

“Customer acquisition, conversion, and retention rates for most brands are dismal,” says Pedraza, one of the world’s most respected and independent CRM experts since 1997.  “Digital technology, social media, Big Data, and multi-channel access are getting all of the attention these days.  However, the most important element in order for brands to outperform and, more importantly, outbehave their competition is a customer culture.

Pedraza has developed and licensed a proprietary Customer Culture process to the Luxury Institute and will do the same with the Customer Culture Institute. The newly formed institute will provide clients from diverse industries with Pedraza’s collaborative seven-step process that includes developing relationship-building techniques, education, incentives and measurement for customer facing employees and ultimately drives higher sales.

“A great deal of business today is purely transactional when it should be relationship-driven and more humanistic,” says Pedraza.  “At the Luxury Institute, we have proven through engagements with world-class clients that customer data collection, conversion, retention, recovery and referrals go up dramatically as a customer culture takes hold.”

The Customer Culture Institute is presently adding staff and seeking more like-minded and passionate individuals specialized in particular industries to represent the institute in the U.S. and in key overseas markets. For information, please visit www.customercultureinstitute.com to fill out a contact form.

Spread the wealth, share!

February 11, 2013

US stores luxuriate in Chinese cash

By Yu Wei
China Daily
February 8, 2013

Yu Yang, from the central China city of Wuhan, was laden with shopping bags and beaming, surprised at the ease of his retail excursion in New York State.

Although Yu doesn’t speak English, Mandarin-speaking store clerks at some of the Woodbury Common outlet mall stores made him comfortable by explaining products and converting international sizing charts to US sizes.

“Our customer-service supervisor at Woodbury Common is Chinese. We have several designer stores that also employ sales personnel who speak various dialects of Chinese,” said Jean Guinup, a marketing executive with Simon Property Group Inc, which operates the outlet mall, about an hour’s drive south.

The mall, which opened in 1985 and is filled with more than 200 designer-label stores that sell clothing and housewares at reduced prices, has long attracted busloads of tourists visiting New York City. Now Woodbury Common and its retailers court Chinese shoppers with services in Mandarin and Cantonese, including currency exchange, public-address announcements and other information.

“Last year, we saw increases in the number of Chinese visitors who visited our centers, including during Chinese New Year,” Guinup said.

Based on that experience and inquiries from potential shoppers, Simon is expecting greater numbers this Chinese New Year, to factory outlets such as Woodbury Common and the company’s other properties, including the high-end Mills malls.

“We have been aware of the increased volume of Chinese visitors arriving to the United States over the past several years, as well as the projections for continued increased growth,” Guinup said. “The relationship with our Chinese shoppers is very meaningful and we continue to develop programs to entice and excite this key audience.”

According to a report by Bain & Co, an adviser to the global luxury-goods industry, Chinese consumers now make up half of all luxury purchases in Asia and nearly a third of those in Europe. Globally, one in four purchases of personal luxury goods is made by a Chinese consumer.

Although retailing of luxury brands isn’t new to China, customers there still prefer to buy high-end goods during trips abroad. Research firm McKinsey & Co reports that two-thirds of luxury consumers on the Chinese mainland travel overseas to make purchases, thus avoiding China’s high sales taxes.

Although rich Chinese tourists don’t need to be told what to buy, they do benefit from having someone facilitate their purchases.

At the new Burberry boutique at the landmark Macy’s department store in Manhattan, a sales clerk named Jeniffer, who declined to give her last name, said six or seven Mandarin-speaking assistants are on the staff.

The British brand has put its red-colored products on display in the shop’s most prominent position and will hand out special red envelopes as a gift with purchases during the Chinese New Year.

Montblanc, which sells fine-quality fountain pens and writing accessories, has both red envelopes and window decorations done in a red floral motif with Chinese symbols at its US locations.

“We have a corporate policy to have at least one Chinese-speaking staff member in each of our boutiques,” said Nicole Dabaghian, a spokeswoman for Montblanc North America.

The retailer saw an influx of Chinese shoppers during the last Chinese New Year and is expecting even more this month.

“We most definitely value the Chinese tourist – so far as to have created special products such as a currency holder or wallet specifically for Chinese currency,” Dabaghian said.

China is one of the fastest-growing countries of origin for tourists in the US. A record number of Chinese – nearly 1.1 million – visited the country in 2011, and the US Commerce Department estimates that 1.54 million came in 2012.

“We have seen many Chinese visitors during last year’s Chinese New Year celebration, and we expect to see even more visitors this year,” said Matthew Bauer, president of the Madison Avenue Business Improvement District, a merchants association.

He said three-quarters of luxury stores on Madison Avenue between East 57th and East 86th streets accept China UnionPay, the most widely used card-payment system in the Asian country. Many of the association’s member retailers have special promotions planned for the upcoming holiday.

“To accommodate clients from abroad, Madison Avenue retailers have long maintained sales associates familiar with a variety of languages, and certainly many of our retailers have sales associates who speak Mandarin,” Bauer said.

Italian fashion line Emilio Pucci opened a store on Madison Avenue late last year and the boutique has a full-time Mandarin-speaking associate.

“This will be our first Chinese New Year in the location, and we very much look forward to welcoming Chinese tourists during the celebration,” said Katie Antonucci, the company’s retail director.

She said Pucci’s spring collection has a strong “Indochina influence”. “This collection will be in the store and large dragon tails – a theme used throughout the collection – will be on display in the window of the store,” she said.

The surge of Chinese visitors gives luxury-goods companies a chance to gauge the impact of their business strategies in China itself.

“The luxury brands need to understand that for the future, the purchasing power and discerning taste of the Chinese consumer will be important not just in China, but around the world, in major capitals of tourism and culture, as these highly educated world travelers eagerly discover the world and bring their vast purchasing power along with them,” said Milton Pedraza, CEO of the Luxury Institute, a New York-based research and consulting firm.

“The luxury brands must not only deliver great products,” he said, “but also associates who speak the language and who have the personality and skills to build long-term, mutually beneficial relationships with individuals, not just groups, of Chinese consumers.”

Chinese who travel and shop abroad have captured high-end retailers’ attention because they know what they want, buy in large quantities and are less interested in bargains than high-quality design, craftsmanship, and service, Pedraza said.

http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/epaper/2013-02/08/content_16216681.htm

Spread the wealth, share!

February 5, 2013

Wealthy Customers Sing Praises of Shopping Experiences at Bergdorf, Nordstrom and Barneys

(NEW YORK) February 05, 2013 – U.S. shoppers earning at least $150,000 a year share detailed opinions and evaluations of seven leading luxury retailers in the 2013 Luxury Consumer Experience Index (LCEI) conducted by the independent and objective New York-based Luxury Institute.  Based on an average of seven customer experience components rated on a 1-10 scale, Bergdorf Goodman (8.58) ranks first, but wealthy consumers are far more likely to shop at second-place Nordstrom (8.36).

Visited by 34% of wealthy shoppers in the past 12 months, Nordstrom is the most popular luxury retail chain, and it is also most likely (92%) to be recommended favorably to family and friends. The affluent shoppers who have visited Bergdorf Goodman’s two stores in the past 12 months rave about it, ranking it first on six of seven experience criteria, including having polite, trustworthy, knowledgeable and enthusiastic employees, as well as stores that are appealing and well maintained.  Bergdorf’s parent, Neiman Marcus, ranks first for being the retailer that high-income shoppers say, “completely satisfies my needs.”

Despite the high praise for its people and its stores, wealthy shoppers perceive Bergdorf’s merchandise as a bit too pricey, ranking it last (63%) on the question of whether its products are worth premium prices.  Barneys New York ranks first (85%) for deserving premium pricing.

“Bergdorf Goodman retains the cachet of a classic boutique that delivers outstanding experiences,” says Luxury Institute CEO Milton Pedraza. “On a larger scale, Nordstrom deserves credit for replicating great experiences with a customer centric culture across its entire network of stores.”

Wealthy shoppers also evaluated Saks Fifth Avenue, Burberry, Bloomingdale’s and Brooks Brothers.

About Luxury Institute (www.LuxuryInstitute.com)

The Luxury Institute is the objective and independent global voice of the high net-worth consumer. The Institute conducts extensive and actionable research with wealthy consumers about their behaviors and attitudes on customer experience best practices. In addition, we work closely with top-tier luxury brands to successfully transform their organizational cultures into more profitable customer-centric enterprises. Our Luxury CRM Culture consulting process leverages our fact-based research and enables luxury brands to dramatically Outbehave as well as Outperform their competition. The Luxury Institute also operates LuxuryBoard.com, a membership-based online research portal, and the Luxury CRM Association, a membership organization dedicated to building customer-centric luxury enterprises.

Spread the wealth, share!

January 15, 2013

Tiffany Deal Whispers Buoy Value After Earnings: Real M&A

By Tara Lachapelle and Cotten Timberlake
Bloomberg
January 14, 2013

In the eye of the investor, Tiffany & Co. (TIF)’s blue-boxed gifts are so alluring to potential suitors that not even the worst earnings stretch in at least a decade has put a dent in its valuation.

Even though the $7.6 billion company has missed profit estimates in four straight quarters and said last week that analysts’ fiscal 2014 projections were too high, the jewelry seller fetches 18.6 times earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s only 0.4 point lower than the multiple in March, when the shortfalls started, as takeover speculation helps support the shares, Ariel Investments LLC said.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA (MC), PPR SA and Cie. Financiere Richemont SA could all boost their earnings by adding the company to their current stable of luxury brands, according to ISI Group and the Luxury Institute. Ariel says a buyer would have leeway to expand Tiffany in the U.S., Asia and Europe. A purchase at current prices would be the biggest of a retailer since Coles Group Ltd. more than five years ago, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

“Sooner or later someone will make a run at Tiffany,” Howard Ward, the chief investment officer for growth equities at Gamco Investors Inc., wrote in an e-mail. Gamco, which oversees about $37 billion, owns shares of the company. “It is a trophy property,” he added. “There are some obvious foreign luxury brand companies that would be interested.”

Swatch Group AG today said it agreed to buy the Harry Winston watch and jewelry brand for about $1 billion, adding a luxury label in the Swiss watchmaker’s biggest acquisition ever. Shares of Tiffany advanced 1.6 percent to $61.25 today.

Takeover Speculation

Mark Aaron, a spokesman for New York-based Tiffany, said the company doesn’t comment on speculation, when asked about the retailer’s takeover prospects. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Michael Kowalski said in a 2011 interview with the Financial Times that Tiffany has been the subject of deal speculation “probably since we went public in 1987.” He added that his shareholders would be “best served” by the company remaining independent.

Representatives of LVMH, PPR (PP) and Richemont declined to comment.

Tiffany shares plunged 4.5 percent, the biggest drop in six weeks, on Jan. 10 when the company said earnings for the fiscal year ending this month will be at the low end of its forecast after holiday sales growth slowed in the Americas and Asia. Tiffany also projected earnings in the fiscal year ending in January 2014 of about $3.39 to $3.49 a share, compared with the $3.80 average of analysts’ estimates, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Not Suffering

The company had already missed analysts’ income forecasts for four straight quarters, the longest stretch in at least a decade, the data show. Still, Tiffany’s price-earnings ratio hasn’t suffered much, only falling to 18.6 from 19 on March 19, the last close before its first profit shortfall. The valuation has held up even as Tiffany’s market capitalization dropped from last year’s peak of $9.3 billion.

The Tiffany brand may be alluring to potential acquirers, according to Tim Fidler, a Chicago-based money manager at Ariel Investments, which oversees about $5 billion including the retailer’s shares. In the luxury jewelry industry, Tiffany has the best-known brand among affluent consumers surveyed by the Luxury Institute. Despite falling short of earnings projections since early last year, the company’s fiscal 2013 revenue is forecast to be $3.8 billion, up $1.1 billion from three years earlier, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Tiffany’s Consistency

“There aren’t many companies in the public markets today on the retail side that you can argue have all the positive attributes with the consistency that Tiffany has demonstrated,” Fidler said in a phone interview. “A lot of the big, European houses would love to own a brand of this type.”

Tiffany said this month that it signed a 20-year agreement to keep selling jewelry by Elsa Peretti, which accounts for about 10 percent of its sales. The accord lets Tiffany retain exclusive rights to the designs, which include “Diamonds by the Yard” and iconic heart- and bean-shaped pendants.

By renewing the deal, Tiffany removed an impediment that could have deterred suitors from considering a purchase of the company, Omar Saad, a New York-based analyst at ISI, wrote in a Jan. 8 note. He said Tiffany “would be a highly attractive asset to the large luxury conglomerates,” and argued that LVMH, PPR and Richemont could all boost earnings by purchasing it. Milton Pedraza, the CEO of the Luxury Institute, a New York- based research and consulting firm, agreed that those three European companies could fuel growth with Tiffany.

High Ranking

“Tiffany continues to have a high brand ranking and prestige,” Pedraza said. “Is it an interesting acquisition opportunity for somebody? Yes, presuming they will do something better and more interesting with it.”

Francesco Trapani, head of Paris-based LVMH’s watch and jewelry unit, said in November that he expects more consolidation in the industry. While the world’s largest maker of luxury goods always has “a window open on M&A,” the company won’t pay “stupid prices,” Trapani said. LVMH bought Bulgari SpA, the Italian jewelry maker, in 2011, and it also sells products including Louis Vuitton bags and Dom Perignon champagne.

PPR of Paris is reorganizing to focus on luxury, sports and lifestyle brands as it seeks to lift sales to 24 billion euros ($32 billion) by 2020 from 12.2 billion euros in 2011. The owner of the Gucci brand has said acquisitions will account for about 20 percent of that goal.

Coles, Wesfarmers

Richemont, the second-biggest luxury goods company, owns brands including Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels.

A deal for Tiffany at current prices would be the largest takeover in the retail industry since Wesfarmers Ltd. purchased Coles for $15.8 billion in 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Because Tiffany’s management knows it’s running an “iconic” brand, it may command a takeover price higher than acquirers are willing to pay, said Brian Yarbrough, a St. Louis- based analyst for Edward Jones & Co. Tiffany shares would be trading above $90 if they were meeting their historical relationship to forecast profit, he said. The company, which ended last week at $60.28, may seek something similar in a sale, he said.

“For a public company, it’s going to be hard to pay that kind of a premium and have it not be dilutive,” Yarbrough said in a phone interview. “Management is going to be very hesitant to sell down here when the business is struggling and not firing on all cylinders. There are reasons why buyers could be interested, but it’s all going to come down to price.”

‘Very Few’

The most likely buyers are the global luxury conglomerates that would buy Tiffany for strategic reasons and that “can afford to pay the most,” said Oliver Chen, an analyst at Citigroup Inc. in New York.

Tiffany is “an extremely attractive asset as an American brand,” Chen said. “They are one of the very few,” he added. “There is an opportunity for incremental product innovation, and Tiffany has an extremely attractive global presence and global awareness.”

Ariel’s Fidler estimated that Tiffany’s value to a buyer is in the “high $70s to low $80s,” based on past acquisitions by strategic buyers in the industry, a discounted cash flow analysis and the current valuations of its peers.

“Obviously if someone is interested in the company, much like management, you always want to listen,” Fidler said. “There’s enormous value at this company and it’s not hard to get to a number substantially higher than the current stock price for a potential transaction.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2013-01-14/tiffany-deal-whispers-buoy-value-after-earnings-real-m-a.html

 

Spread the wealth, share!
« Newer PostsOlder Posts »